sports

Polymarket vs Kalshi: 2026 Prediction Market Showdown

Polymarket and Kalshi lead US prediction markets in 2026, with sports trading driving record volumes, especially during the World Cup.

Both platforms operate as designated contract markets under CFTC regulation, setting them apart from offshore prediction sites. Polymarket offers new users a $50 bonus with a $20 deposit, while Kalshi provides a $10 bonus after the first $10 trade. chickenroad.qpon

Both platforms use probability-weighted fee structures where trading costs peak near 50% probability. Sports have become the most heavily traded category on both platforms in 2026, with the World Cup driving record volume across both platforms.